Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
61.5% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 61.5% calibrated confidence and +3.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 61.4700:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Internacional
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Corinthians
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: