Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
73.3% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 73.3% calibrated confidence and +15.3 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 34.0100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.8800:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.882906383271500:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 63.1000:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 70.5900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 73.330866857660600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 JS Saoura
Recent Form:
W
D
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
33.300000000000004:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
66.7:F0%
✈️ Olympique Akbou
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: