Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
63.1% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 63.1% calibrated confidence and +5.1 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 35.7300:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 35.7300:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 35.7300:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 35.734136361480400:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 63.1000:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 63.1000:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 63.103547226472900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Renaissance Zemamra
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.50
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
50:F0%
✈️ Hassania Agadir
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: