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Poland - 2nd Liga
Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ
Poland - 2nd Liga
5:00 PM WAT
· 09 Oct 2026
Finished
Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
63.6% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 63.6% calibrated confidence and +5.6 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Confidence: 63.9200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.9200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.915141937724600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 57.51349147508200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.61824755358400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 63.6200:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 63.61824755358400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 63.6200:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Podhale Nowy Targ
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
Podhale Nowy Targ 2:0 Chojniczanka Chojnice
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly.
Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: