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Poland - Ekstraklasa
Wieczysta Krakow vs Wisla Plock
Poland - Ekstraklasa
5:00 PM WAT
· 09 Oct 2026
Finished
Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
58.8% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 58.8% calibrated confidence and +0.8 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Confidence: 63.5500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.550626371483500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.550626371483500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.5500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 30.2200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Confidence: 30.2200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Confidence: 30.222513740081300:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Confidence: 58.7500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 58.754852776423700:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 58.754852776423700:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 58.7500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Wieczysta Krakow
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Wisla Plock
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly.
Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: