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Poland - Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice
Poland - Ekstraklasa
7:30 PM WAT
· 09 Oct 2026
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Over 2.5
63.6% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 63.6% calibrated confidence and +5.6 pts of breathing room.
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Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Confidence: 63.5500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.5500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 69.5200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 69.524636480079600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 63.553538312088900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 63.5500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 63.5500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 63.5500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Rakow Czestochowa
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ GKS Katowice
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
GKS Katowice 1:1 Rakow Czestochowa
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly.
Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: