Recommended Model Selection
Home Win
89.6% confidence
Tuned 88.0% gate
Home Win was published because calibrated confidence sits +1.6 pts above the tuned gate at 89.6%.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 72.2100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 89.6200:F1%
Gate: 88:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 89.4700:F1%
Gate: 88:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Internazionale
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
✈️ Parma
Recent Form:
W
W
L
L
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: