Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
61.5% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 61.5% calibrated confidence and +3.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.559324259757800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.5600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 32.4200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 32.4700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 32.4700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 32.470874010245700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 61.4900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 59.0100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 59.0100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 61.48659514359100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Thor Akureyri
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ IBV
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: