Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
65.1% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 65.1% calibrated confidence and +7.1 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 63.5100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 63.3100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 63.313282309641200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.1100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.113842299605700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.1600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 65.087953648546600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 65.0900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 65.0900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Amsterdamsche
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
✈️ HSV Hoek
Recent Form:
L
L
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.67
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
66.7:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: