Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
91.2% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 91.2% calibrated confidence and +33.2 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 73.4400:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 87.06968776759100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 87.0700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 91.1600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 59.0100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 91.160745402165600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 59.0100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 73.8400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Fram Reykjavik
Recent Form:
D
D
W
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
✈️ KR Reykjavik
Recent Form:
W
W
L
L
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: