Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
68.3% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 68.3% calibrated confidence and +10.3 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 64.1100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 64.2400:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 64.2400:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 64.24168700804200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.257942309149100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.1300:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.2600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.2600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 68.7300:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Stabaek
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Strommen
Recent Form:
L
L
D
D
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
3.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: