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Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
4:00 PM WAT
· 11 Oct 2026
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Over 2.5
61.6% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 61.6% calibrated confidence and +3.6 pts of breathing room.
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Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Confidence: 61.0400:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 61.036821535322900:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 30.4400:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Confidence: 30.442304642164400:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Confidence: 61.6000:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 61.601885463026600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Dinamo Batumi
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ Dinamo Tbilisi
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly.
Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: