Recommended Model Selection
Home Win
82.9% confidence
Configured 68.0% gate
Home Win was published because calibrated confidence sits +14.9 pts above the configured gate at 82.9%.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 71.0900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 71.0900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.6400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 65.528453533121100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 82.8900:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 82.8900:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 82.8900:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Union Saint-Gilloise
Recent Form:
W
W
D
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
3.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: