Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
61.1% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 61.1% calibrated confidence and +6.1 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.0600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.0600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.0600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.057621262618800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.8600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.394831747437600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 32.7500:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.3900:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.3900:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.3900:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Racing Santander
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
5.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Valencia
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: