Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
57.9% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 57.9% calibrated confidence and +2.9 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.9200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.9200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.9200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.5800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.9200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 58.7900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 58.7900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 58.7900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 58.7900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Arouca
Recent Form:
L
L
D
D
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Estrela da Amadora
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: