Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
66.5% confidence
Tuned 66.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 66.5% calibrated confidence and +0.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 39.5100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 41.6200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 41.6200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 41.6200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 40.7600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 66.4800:F1%
Gate: 66:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.2600:F1%
Gate: 64:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 66.4800:F1%
Gate: 66:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 66.4800:F1%
Gate: 66:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 66.4800:F1%
Gate: 66:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Platense
Recent Form:
W
W
W
D
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
✈️ Argentinos Juniors
Recent Form:
L
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.67
Clean Sheet Frequency:
66.7:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: