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Czech Republic - FNL
Dukla Prague vs Banik Ostrava II
Czech Republic - FNL
4:00 PM WAT
· 12 Oct 2026
Upcoming
Recommended Model Selection
Draw
30.6% confidence
Configured 30.0% gate
Draw cleared the configured threshold with 30.6% calibrated confidence and +0.6 pts of breathing room.
+ Add to Selections
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Confidence: 59.2100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 59.0900:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 59.2100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 30.6100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Confidence: 30.6100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Confidence: 58.2900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 58.6400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 58.2900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Dukla Prague
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Banik Ostrava II
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly.
Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: