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Poland - Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Krakow
Poland - Ekstraklasa
7:30 PM WAT
· 12 Oct 2026
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Over 2.5
71.1% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 71.1% calibrated confidence and +13.1 pts of breathing room.
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Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Confidence: 69.7800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 69.4700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 69.4700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 69.4700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Confidence: 71.1000:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 65.6900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 65.8400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Confidence: 65.8400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 GKS Katowice
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
✈️ Wieczysta Krakow
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly.
Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: