Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
67.3% confidence
Tuned 66.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 67.3% calibrated confidence and +1.3 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 67.2600:F1%
Gate: 66:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 National Bank of Egypt
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
✈️ Talaea El Gaish
Recent Form:
D
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.67
Clean Sheet Frequency:
33.300000000000004:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
33.300000000000004:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: