Recommended Model Selection
Away Win
84.8% confidence
Tuned 84.0% gate
Away Win was published because calibrated confidence sits +0.8 pts above the tuned gate at 84.8%.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.1700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.1700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.1100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.1700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.1700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 89.0400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 89.1600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 89.0400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 88.7700:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 89.0400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Away Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 84.8000:F1%
Gate: 84:F1%
Away Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 88.9900:F1%
Gate: 84:F1%
Away Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 88.9600:F1%
Gate: 84:F1%
Away Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 88.9900:F1%
Gate: 84:F1%
Away Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 88.9900:F1%
Gate: 84:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Viking
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
100:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
✈️ Bayern Munich
Recent Form:
D
D
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
4.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: