Norway - 1st Division 6:00 PM WAT · 14 Oct 2026 Upcoming
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Stabaek

VS
✈️

Sandnes Ulf

Model Market Probabilities

Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.

BTTS BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 69.3100:F1% Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 69.1800:F1% Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 64.6300:F1% Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 64.63176728120400:F1% Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5 Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 71.588955629221900:F1% Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5 Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 71.7600:F1% Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5 Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 71.5900:F1% Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5 Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 71.5900:F1% Gate: 58:F1%

Form & Goal Trends

Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.

🏠 Stabaek

Recent Form:
D D L L W
Avg Goals Scored / Match: 1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match: 1.80
Clean Sheet Frequency: 0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate: 60:F0%

✈️ Sandnes Ulf

Recent Form:
D W L L L
Avg Goals Scored / Match: 1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match: 1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency: 20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate: 40:F0%

About This Prediction Model

MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides:

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