Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
59.0% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 59.0% calibrated confidence and +4.0 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.0100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 63.671880867154200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.0900:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.0100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.011975121969700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 65.8700:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 65.8700:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 66.0900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 70.79440378931100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 70.79440378931100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Lech Poznan
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ Bayer Leverkusen
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: