Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
91.7% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 91.7% calibrated confidence and +33.7 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 58.444677255023600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 61.3300:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.9000:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.898884388552200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 91.732550441512100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 91.2100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 91.7300:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 91.500175002681800:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Bayern Munich
Recent Form:
D
D
D
D
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ RB Leipzig
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
80:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: