Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
68.4% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 68.4% calibrated confidence and +10.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.3500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 88.2400:F1%
Gate: 85:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 87.0300:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Crvena Zvezda
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ Mladost Lucani
Recent Form:
W
L
W
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: