Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
55.6% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 55.6% calibrated confidence and +0.6 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 58.7900:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.584089809731600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.584089809731600:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.1300:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.1300:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.1300:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Aris Limassol
Recent Form:
L
D
D
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ AEK Larnaca
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: