Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
57.2% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 57.2% calibrated confidence and +2.2 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.2200:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.224125225264400:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.224125225264400:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 58.1900:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.01050877190700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.01050877190700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.5500:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.0100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.0100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Real Murcia
Recent Form:
D
W
W
D
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ Real Zaragoza
Recent Form:
W
L
L
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: