Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
57.7% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 57.7% calibrated confidence and +2.6 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.5700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.6500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 71.7400:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 71.8600:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 71.8600:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Vegalta Sendai
Recent Form:
D
D
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
80:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
✈️ Imabari
Recent Form:
D
D
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: