Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
60.5% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 60.5% calibrated confidence and +5.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 60.5400:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 32.0400:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 32.1800:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Newport City
Recent Form:
W
W
L
L
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
3.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
✈️ Pontypridd United
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: