Recommended Model Selection
Draw
35.7% confidence
Configured 30.0% gate
Draw cleared the configured threshold with 35.7% calibrated confidence and +5.7 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 31.5200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.0600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.062327899434400:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 35.737407255288900:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 69.1100:F1%
Gate: 69:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 FC Masar
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.75
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.50
Clean Sheet Frequency:
50:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
50:F0%
✈️ Pharco FC
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: