Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
76.9% confidence
Tuned 76.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 76.9% calibrated confidence and +0.9 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 69.3800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 69.3800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 69.519247172364800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 69.378461317071800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.920385527303600:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.5300:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.530050628671900:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.5300:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Vikingur Reykjavik
Recent Form:
D
D
W
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
✈️ Fram Reykjavik
Recent Form:
D
D
W
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: