Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
77.4% confidence
Tuned 76.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 77.4% calibrated confidence and +1.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 60.8700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.0700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 55.6800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 77.4100:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 77.2700:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 77.4100:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 75.9800:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 76.4100:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 75.9800:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 75.9800:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 LASK Linz
Recent Form:
L
W
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ WSG Tirol
Recent Form:
W
W
W
D
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
80:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: