Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
77.4% confidence
Tuned 76.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 77.4% calibrated confidence and +1.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 62.38164013454700:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 77.408582582152700:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 72.9400:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 73.0100:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 74.0400:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 72.9400:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 72.9400:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Atert Bissen
Recent Form:
L
L
W
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Etzella Ettelbruck
Recent Form:
W
L
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: