Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
74.5% confidence
Tuned 74.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 74.5% calibrated confidence and +0.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 68.0900:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 68.2300:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 74.4900:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Asane
Recent Form:
W
W
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
✈️ Haugesund
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
3.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: