Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
76.6% confidence
Tuned 74.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 76.6% calibrated confidence and +2.6 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.577127184548800:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 76.8800:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 75.2500:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 77.7500:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 82.4500:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Trabzonspor
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Gaziantep
Recent Form:
W
W
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: