Recommended Model Selection
Home Win
76.7% confidence
Configured 68.0% gate
Home Win was published because calibrated confidence sits +8.7 pts above the configured gate at 76.7%.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 58.7500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.2900:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.290159626687100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 59.290159626687100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 76.7300:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 77.3500:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 76.7300:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 76.7300:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Young Boys
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
80:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
✈️ FC Zurich
Recent Form:
D
L
W
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: