Recommended Model Selection
Over 2.5
76.5% confidence
Tuned 76.0% gate
Over 2.5 cleared the tuned threshold with 76.5% calibrated confidence and +0.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 56.4800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 57.5100:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 56.4800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.5200:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.9800:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 2.5
Over2.5Goals
Confidence: 76.5200:F1%
Gate: 76:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 83.0100:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 83.1600:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 83.1600:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Sporting Cristal
Recent Form:
W
L
L
L
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
✈️ FC Cajamarca
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: