Recommended Model Selection
BTTS
66.4% confidence
Configured 55.0% gate
BTTS cleared the configured threshold with 66.4% calibrated confidence and +11.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 66.3500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 66.3500:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Wealdstone
Recent Form:
W
L
L
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Derby County U21
Recent Form:
W
D
D
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
3.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: