Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
68.4% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 68.4% calibrated confidence and +10.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.4900:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.5800:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.489289621444700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.489289621444700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 61.506001471039300:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 61.5100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.40615857761400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Zenit
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.60
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ CSKA Moscow
Recent Form:
D
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: