Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
58.8% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 58.8% calibrated confidence and +0.8 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 34.6900:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 58.7600:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Al-Shorta
Recent Form:
D
L
L
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Al Naft
Recent Form:
W
W
D
D
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
100:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: