Recommended Model Selection
Draw
35.9% confidence
Configured 30.0% gate
Draw cleared the configured threshold with 35.9% calibrated confidence and +5.9 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.9100:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.9200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.9200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 33.917523634756200:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 35.856468092962800:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.751539683423500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.7500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.7500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 68.751539683423500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Renaissance Zemamra
Recent Form:
L
L
L
D
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ Wydad Temara
Recent Form:
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: