Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
68.0% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 68.0% calibrated confidence and +10.0 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.969030433297600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.9700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.9700:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 35.8900:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.969030433297600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 67.975454902816100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 67.975454902816100:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Deportivo Cuenca
Recent Form:
L
L
D
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ Orense
Recent Form:
D
W
W
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: