Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
60.8% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 60.8% calibrated confidence and +2.8 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 60.75916008785900:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Wadi Degla
Recent Form:
W
L
D
D
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Kahraba Ismailia
Recent Form:
W
L
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
33.300000000000004:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
33.300000000000004:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: