Recommended Model Selection
Under 2.5
67.3% confidence
Configured 58.0% gate
Under 2.5 cleared the configured threshold with 67.3% calibrated confidence and +9.3 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 37.8600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.657893773249400:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 34.851686413651800:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 36.6600:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 67.34006409677200:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 63.7500:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 66.2700:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Under 2.5
Under2.5Goals
Confidence: 66.27480179039400:F1%
Gate: 58:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Tanta
Recent Form:
L
L
D
D
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
✈️ La Viena
Recent Form:
D
D
W
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: