Recommended Model Selection
Over 1.5
80.5% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
Over 1.5 cleared the configured threshold with 80.5% calibrated confidence and +6.5 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 79.593571990519700:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 80.3900:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 79.313849050663700:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 80.5300:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Yeclano Deportivo
Recent Form:
W
L
D
D
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
20:F0%
✈️ Castellon II
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: