Recommended Model Selection
Over 1.5
77.3% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
Over 1.5 cleared the configured threshold with 77.3% calibrated confidence and +3.3 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 78.1500:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 77.3000:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Union San Felipe
Recent Form:
D
D
L
W
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
80:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
✈️ Union Espanola
Recent Form:
D
W
L
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.25
Clean Sheet Frequency:
25:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
75:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: