Recommended Model Selection
Over 1.5
87.4% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
Over 1.5 cleared the configured threshold with 87.4% calibrated confidence and +13.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 89.008341545482800:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 89.008341545482800:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 87.446750972828400:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 87.446750972828400:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 73.1100:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 73.1100:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Tenerife
Recent Form:
W
D
D
D
D
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.80
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
✈️ Huracan
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
40:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: