Recommended Model Selection
Over 1.5
74.4% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
Over 1.5 cleared the configured threshold with 74.4% calibrated confidence and +0.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
Draw
Draw
Confidence: 30.0500:F1%
Gate: 30:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 75.3400:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 74.3500:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 San Marcos de Arica
Recent Form:
W
W
D
D
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.60
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ San Luis de Quillota
Recent Form:
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: