Recommended Model Selection
Over 1.5
83.8% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
Over 1.5 cleared the configured threshold with 83.8% calibrated confidence and +9.8 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 86.298199445530800:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 90.4200:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 83.643590261349700:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 83.8400:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 68.1200:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Haro Deportivo
Recent Form:
W
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
3.20
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
100:F0%
✈️ Berceo
Recent Form:
L
W
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
2.20
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: