Recommended Model Selection
Over 1.5
83.3% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
Over 1.5 cleared the configured threshold with 83.3% calibrated confidence and +9.3 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 93.394544745631700:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 93.6100:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 84.444869076207700:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 83.3200:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 80.1800:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Home Win
StraightWin
Confidence: 77.6200:F1%
Gate: 68:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Recent Form:
L
L
L
L
L
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
3.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
0:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Genk
Recent Form:
L
L
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
0.40
Clean Sheet Frequency:
60:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
0:F0%
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: