Recommended Model Selection
Over 1.5
76.4% confidence
Configured 74.0% gate
Over 1.5 cleared the configured threshold with 76.4% calibrated confidence and +2.4 pts of breathing room.
Model Market Probabilities
Blended signals from Dixon-Coles Poisson simulations, de-vigged market lines, and calibrated probability matrices.
BTTS
BothTeamsScore
Confidence: 56.9800:F1%
Gate: 55:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 84.5500:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
1X
DoubleChance
Confidence: 84.54686296035200:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 78.5500:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Over 1.5
Over1.5Goals
Confidence: 76.439878133325100:F1%
Gate: 74:F1%
Form & Goal Trends
Statistical distribution indicators derived from recent fixtures and scoring dynamics.
🏠 ADR Jicaral
Recent Form:
D
L
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
40:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
60:F0%
✈️ Guadalupe
Recent Form:
D
W
W
W
W
Avg Goals Scored / Match:
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded / Match:
1.00
Clean Sheet Frequency:
20:F0%
Both Teams Scored Rate:
80:F0%
Head-to-Head Track Record
About This Prediction Model
MatchPredictor applies statistical goal distribution algorithms (Dixon-Coles & Poisson modeling) combined with market odds calibration. We use historical Brier scores to optimize threshold gates nightly. Want to understand the mathematics behind our forecasts? Read our detailed guides: